Archived: VSC Experts say Bet Seattle-Dallas OVER the TOTAL 43
January 2, 2019
After beating Dallas during the regular season, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks will look to duplicate their feet when they hit the road to take on Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys in their NFC wild card battle on Saturday.
If you want to know whether Wilson and the Seahawks can get the road win and cover or whether Prescott and the Cowboys are the better pick to hold it down at home, then let’s get to my expert NFL wild card playoff pick right now.
Seattle Seahawks (10-6) at Dallas Cowboys (10-6)
When: Saturday, January 5, 2019 at 8:20 p.m. ET
Where: AT&T Stadium
Odds: Dallas Cowboys -1 -110 | -120 | U 43½ -110
Seattle hits the postseason playing its best football of the season at just the right time. The Seahawks have won two straight and six of their last seven games, including their narrow 27-24 win over Arizona in their regular season finale. Seattle also beat Dallas 24-13 at home in Week 3 to cash in as a 1-point favorite.
“I think what it comes down to is nobody wanted to play in Chicago,” Doug Baldwin said. “We wanted to play in Dallas in a dome.”
The Seahawks led the NFL in rushing during the regular season (193.3 ypg) while also ranking 11th in points allowed (21.7 ppg).
MVP-caliber superstar quarterback Russell Wilson had another phenomenal season by passing for 3,448 yards with 35 touchdowns and just seven interceptions. This season, Wilson played every offensive snap for the Seahawks for the first time in his seven-year career.
While Seattle is playing its best football of the season heading into the postseason, the fact of the matter is that so is Dallas. The Cowboys closed out the regular season by winning two straight and seven of their last eight games overall, including their narrow 36-35 win over the Giants in their regular season finale.
Dallas limits the opposition to just 20.2 points per game to rank sixth in points allowed and have won seven of eight at home this season. Quarterback Dak Prescott passed for 3,885 yards with 22 touchdowns and eight interceptions in the regular season and now, the Cowboys say they are ready for their wild card opener.
“Normally after a real game I’m not feeling ready to play until about Friday, Saturday, but I’m ready to go right now,” running back Ezekiel Elliott said after practice on Tuesday.
Expert Analysis and Prediction
While Dallas is playing at home and playing their best football of the season, I’m going to advise you to back Seattle to get the outright road win to cash in. The Seahawks have won three straight and four of five against Dallas since Russell Wilson became the starter for Seattle back in 2012.
The Seahawks are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. On the flip side of the coin, the Cowboys are an uninspiring 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record, a discouraging 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff home games.
Seattle is also a robust 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wildcard games while Dallas has gone an uninspiring 1-5 ATS in their last six games in the month of January. Keep it simple NFL betting enthusiasts. We think the Seahawks are the better team here and have been undervalued all year against the spread. But the Main information is on the OVER with Seattle getting the outright win late.
Pick: BET THE OVER 43
Seattle Seahawks 27 Dallas Cowboys 23